Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 6.985291 7.691219 8.444487 9.309262 10.276073 11.325304 12.552370
2025-11-02 5.686854 6.619126 7.678372 8.975582 10.527594 12.332479 14.601457
2025-11-09 4.761469 5.811400 7.070568 8.702174 10.775223 13.340859 16.786878
2025-11-16 4.091037 5.205465 6.607310 8.517921 11.081455 14.440925 19.240819
2025-11-23 3.595133 4.747144 6.259488 8.417191 11.460528 15.666232 22.035264
2025-11-30 3.278680 4.479657 6.119910 8.562558 12.174662 17.426887 25.843500
2025-12-07 2.947902 4.149865 5.849584 8.478965 12.535746 18.713153 29.140478
2025-12-14 2.639263 3.814924 5.529666 8.274366 12.674839 19.664281 32.043470
2025-12-21 2.417595 3.582401 5.331603 8.223818 13.034749 20.994646 35.772378
2025-12-28 2.284121 3.468035 5.297715 8.421960 13.813832 23.110335 41.219567
2026-01-04 2.157724 3.350724 5.244249 8.576341 14.530145 25.206133 46.987337
2026-01-11 2.020793 3.202592 5.124236 8.600088 15.012445 26.936900 52.344282
2026-01-18 1.873280 3.026722 4.945948 8.510176 15.291630 28.357267 57.410033
2026-01-25 1.736300 2.856686 4.761740 8.389065 15.496543 29.664329 62.499620
2026-02-01 1.611057 2.696115 4.579144 8.250348 15.648416 30.885623 67.646940
2026-02-08 1.504345 2.559076 4.425874 8.149910 15.862735 32.267238 73.454848
2026-02-15 1.415253 2.446138 4.306102 8.100918 16.175468 33.906710 80.241877
2026-02-22 1.362822 2.395508 4.297072 8.271014 16.975464 36.761849 90.776492
2026-03-01 1.286340 2.293918 4.182004 8.210428 17.259331 38.460146 98.614178
2026-03-08 1.202199 2.171448 4.016173 8.025594 17.237745 39.418579 104.606378
2026-03-15 1.141311 2.089049 3.922302 7.984736 17.543421 41.233938 113.524062
2026-03-22 1.109930 2.061777 3.936460 8.181616 18.440903 44.713620 128.398460
2026-03-29 1.075969 2.026711 3.931451 8.334471 19.251155 48.103552 143.927545